ACUS11 KWNS 150023
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150023=20
TXZ000-150230-
Mesoscale Discussion 0079
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0623 PM CST Sat Feb 14 2026
Areas affected...Parts of the Middle and Upper Texas Coast
Concerning...Tornado Watch 5...
Valid 150023Z - 150230Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 5 continues.
SUMMARY...The risk of severe wind gusts and a couple tornadoes will
continue eastward to the coast during the next few hours -- within
Tornado Watch #5.
DISCUSSION...The latest radar data from KHGX depicts an organized
squall line moving eastward along a surface cold front at around
35-40 kt toward the Middle and Upper TX Coast. Ahead of the line,
the HGX VWP is sampling a 40 kt low-level jet, which is contributing
to large clockwise hodograph curvature (250-300 m2/s2 effective
SRH). While the frontal forcing and 50-60 kt of line-parallel
effective shear is promoting a continued linear mode (with a
severe-wind risk), the ample streamwise vorticity and upper 60s to
near 70 boundary-layer dewpoints is also favoring embedded circulations/supercell structures and a tornado risk. The risk of
severe wind gusts and possibly a brief tornado or two will continue
to the coast during the next few hours -- within Tornado Watch #5.
..Weinman.. 02/15/2026
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8vRHWYJkH77u3Z-NzSjdJnUXbiTp50_uUsRvz8ph5974fX8IxpyLIBCaCeYtyRbM_Ly-z-ygJ= QGr05XajpQTBzXV2Rw$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...
LAT...LON 29359614 29969556 30569492 30729444 30679405 30369381
29949385 29609409 28729545 28609594 28929622 29359614=20
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
=3D =3D =3D
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