• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0080

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Feb 15 03:03:38 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 150303
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 150302=20
    LAZ000-150400-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0080
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0902 PM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

    Areas affected...Parts of southern/central Louisiana

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 6...

    Valid 150302Z - 150400Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 6 continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe threat will be maximized in parts of
    south-central Louisiana for the next couple hours -- within Tornado
    Watch #6.

    DISCUSSION...A north/south-oriented QLCS with embedded mesovorticies
    is tracking eastward into south-central LA at 35-40 kt. At least one
    or two brief tornadoes have accompanied these circulations near the
    Fort Polk, LA radar during the last hour. While pre-convective
    buoyancy remains limited, a narrow plume of middle/upper 60s
    dewpoints streaming northward ahead of the line will continue to
    destabilize the inflow for the approaching storms. This, combined
    with large clockwise-curved hodographs (around 300-400 m2/s2
    low-level SRH), will continue to promote mesovorticies with a risk
    of tornadoes and locally enhanced wind damage.

    ..Weinman.. 02/15/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7YzU0E9PPPC-0MbO5VwiqBbtksNfhP62oopXiFXV671W7TjuerNlStXbr0xN0HR09q0zQBJQ9= O6r1bG18BcqWXRicPk$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

    LAT...LON 29889339 30749286 31509260 31699247 31669204 31499177
    31149164 30439166 29769202 29489246 29629333 29889339=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)