557
AXNT20 KNHC 021101
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Feb 2 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0950 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: Gale force winds ahead and following an
Arctic cold front that extends from 31N56W to Puerto Rico to the
NW Colombia offshore waters will diminish to fresh to near gale
force speeds later this morning. Currently seas are in the range
of 18 to 24 ft behind the front N of 24N and W to near 74W, except
to near 78W N of the Bahamas. Seas of 8 to 12 ft are W of 74W to
the Bahamas and also N of the Bahamas W of 78W. Seas ahead of the
front are 10 to 14 ft E to near 55W and N of 28N. These sea
conditions will slowly subside to 12 ft by early Tue morning,
then to 8 to 10 ft late on Tue.

Please read the latest High Seas Forecasts at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more information.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and
continues southwestward to 04N18W where it transitions to the
ITCZ, which continues to 01N35W to 01S46W. Scattered moderate
convection is from 03S to 04N between 20W and 40W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A tight pressure gradient between strong high pressure building
across the area, with a 1032 mb high center located near 28N93W,
and a deepening low off the New England coast is maintaining
moderate to fresh NW to N winds over the eastern Gulf, and
moderate to fresh NE to E winds over the SW Gulf. Seas are still
rough to 10 ft in the SE Gulf in NW to N swell. The highest of
the seas are found near and in the Yucatan Channel.

For the forecast, rough seas to 10 ft over the SE Gulf will
subside later this morning. Afterward, a high building eastward
will support gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas for the
central and eastern Gulf. For the western Gulf, a period of fresh
to strong southerly winds are anticipated from this evening
through Tue morning. Another cold front is expected to enter the
northern Gulf on Wed, then sweep southward across the Gulf through
Thu night. The front will bring fresh to strong northerly winds
and rough seas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A strong Arctic cold front extends from Puerto Rico southwest to
the NW Colombia offshores. Fresh to strong NW to N winds and
rough seas follow the front with seas to 12 ft. Moderate to fresh
trade winds are ongoing in the SE basin with moderate seas.
Satellite imagery shows scattered moderate convection along and
near the front between Hispaniola and NW Colombia.

For the forecast, the Arctic cold front will move across Puerto
Rico and the Virgin Islands today, then will stall from the
northern Leeward Islands to the south-central Caribbean tonight
into Tue morning and dissipate Tue night. Strong to near-gale
force N to NE winds and rough seas behind this front will
gradually shift eastward from the western Caribbean to the central
Caribbean through Tue. Winds and seas are forecast to gradually
diminish across the central Caribbean by Wed evening. On Thu,
another cold front is expected to approach the NW Caribbean and
cause building seas and winds there toward the next weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section for details on an ongoing
Gale Warning for sections of the western Atlantic.

Elsewhere, a cold front enters the far eastern Atlantic near
31N18W and continue to 27N30W, where it transitions to a weakening
stationary front to near 26N36W. Moderate to fresh W to NW winds
are W of the front to near 30W and N of 28N. Seas are in the range
of 7 to 10 ft in NW swell with these winds. The weather pattern
for the rest of the basin is basically controlled by a 1027 mb
high center analyzed N of the area near 33N37W. Its related
gradient is generally allowing for mostly fresh trades to exist S
of 24N and E of the Leeward Islands. Seas are in the range of 8 to
10 ft in NE to E swell over this area. Latest scatterometer
satellite data passes indicate moderate or weaker winds across the
remainder of the basin. Latest altimeter satellite data passes
and buoy observations reveal that rough seas cover the majority of
the remainder of the waters, slightly lower from 25N to 28N E of
51W to vicinity of the Canary Islands and the coast of Africa.

For the forecast west of 55W, gale force winds ahead and
following the Artic cold front will diminish to fresh to near
gale force speeds by later this morning. Afterward, winds will
further diminish to gentle and moderate speeds on Tue as the front
pulls eastward and weaken. Dangerous seas at 24 ft will steadily
subside to 12 ft by Tue morning, then 8 to 10 ft late Tue. In the
long run, another cold front is going to move off the southeast
U.S. coast on Thu, resulting in building winds and seas north of
25N through the next weekend. Mariners are urged to remain
cautious through Mon and stay up to date with the latest forecasts.

$$
Ramos
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)

654
AXNT20 KNHC 151026
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Feb 15 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1000 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Atlantic Gale Warning:
Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for their Agadir, Tarfaya,
and Canarias Marine Zones, all of which are valid through at least
15/12 UTC. For more details, please refer to the Meteo-France
High Seas Forecast listed on their website: http://www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/metarea2

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W to 04N19W. The
ITCZ continues from 04N19W through 02N30W to north of Sao Luis,
Brazil at 01N45W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted along the ITCZ between 20W and 37W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A pre-frontal trough has entered the NW Gulf, enhancing scattered
moderate convection N of 28N between 87W-91W. Otherwise, a broad
surface ridge extending southwestward from central Florida to
south of Tampico, Mexico dominates the area. Fresh to near-gale
southerly return flow and moderate seas prevail over the
northwestern waters. Strong S to SW winds and moderate seas are
noted across the central Gulf waters. Light to gentle winds and
slight seas prevail across the northern portion of the Bay of
Campeche.

For the forecast, the fresh to near-gale southerly winds and
moderate seas will prevail over the northwestern waters ahead of
a cold front that will enter the NW Gulf waters by tonight. As
the front moves across the basin, rough seas will develop across
the northern Gulf today. The front is forecast to move SE of the
area by Mon afternoon, with winds and seas decreasing. High pres
will build in the wake of the front. Gentle to moderate winds with
slight to moderate seas will prevail by midweek.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A surface trough extends from Haiti to 15N75W. A trade-wind
regime persist for the rest of the Caribbean Sea. Fresh to strong
NE winds and rough seas are present off northwestern Colombia,
south of the Dominican Republic and near the Windward Passage.
Fresh to strong ENE winds and moderate seas are found at the lee
of Cuba. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, pulsing strong NE winds will prevail near the
coast of Colombia through the forecast period. Moderate to rough
seas are expected with these winds. Strong winds will also pulse
over the Windward Passage and S of the Dominican Republic today as
a high pressure center passing N of the area maintains a tight
pressure gradient. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail through the middle of next week, except
for light to gentle winds over the NW Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front curves southwestward from the north-central Atlantic
through 31N48W to 23N56W, then continues as a stationary to the
Dominican Republic. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are noted up to 80 nm along either side of the cold front. A 1024
mb high off the Georgia/South Carolina coast is supporting gentle
to moderate NE to SE winds with moderate seas north of 26N and
west of 50W. To the south, moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate
seas from 20N to 26N and west of 55W, including the central and
southeast Bahamas. Between 50W/55W and 35W, and north of 20N,
moderate with fresh SE to S winds and rough seas in mixed
moderate to large swells exist. For the tropical Atlantic from the
Equator to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, gentle to
moderate ENE to SE winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will continue to
build in the wake of the central Atlantic front. S winds will
strengthen offshore north and central Florida today in advance of
a cold front that will move off the SE U.S. coast on Mon. The
cold front will shift eastward over the forecast waters, moving
east of the area the middle of next week. Fresh to strong NE winds
and building seas are expected in the wake of the front. These
winds will diminish by the middle of next week, with rough seas
lingering E of 60W.

$$
ERA
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)

764
AXNT20 KNHC 141018
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Feb 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1000 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Atlantic Gale Waring:
Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for their Agadir and
Tarfaya Marine Zones starting 14/12 UTC. For more details, please
refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their
website:

http://www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/metarea2

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W to 04N19W.
The ITCZ continues from that point to 02S44W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted along the ITCZ.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A weakening stationary front meanders northwestward from southern
Florida to beyond New Orleans, Louisiana. Latest observations
along with composite satellite imagery reveal patchy dense fog is
present near northern Yucatan Peninsula, Naples Florida and along
the Texas/Louisiana coast. Moderate to fresh NE to SE winds and
seas of 3 to 5 ft are seen across the western Gulf, including the
Bay of Campeche. Gentle to moderate NNE to E winds and 1 to 3 ft
seas prevail for the central and eastern Gulf.

For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will support light to gentle
winds across much of the Gulf, with the exception of moderate
winds across the western Gulf. Southerly return flow will
increase to fresh to strong speeds today ahead of a cold front
that will enter the Gulf waters this weekend. Strong S to SW winds
and rough seas are expected in the N-central and NE Gulf with
this frontal system on Sun. The front is forecast to move SE of
the area by Mon. High pres will build in the wake of the front.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A broad surface trough is generating scattered showers near
Hispaniola. Otherwise, a modest trade-wind regime persists across
much of the Caribbean Sea. Fresh to strong NE winds and 6 to 7 ft
seas are evident off northwestern Colombia. Moderate to fresh NE
to E winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft dominate the southeastern and
rest of the south-central basin, including the ABC Islands.
Moderate with fresh NE winds and seas at 3 to 5 ft are noted at
the lee of Cuba and Windward Passage. Mostly gentle NE to E winds
and 2 to 5 ft seas prevail the rest of the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, pulsing strong NE winds will prevail near the coast
of Colombia through the forecast period. Moderate to rough seas
are expected with these winds. Strong winds will develop over
the Windward Passage and S of Dominican Republic this weekend as
a high pressure center passes N of the area and tightens the
pressure gradient. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail through early next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends southwestward from the north-central Atlantic
across 31N54W to 25N72W, then continues westward as a stationary
front to beyond the central Bahamas. Scattered showers are present
near and up to 100 nm northwest of the front. Farther east,
convergent southerly winds are generating scattered moderate
convection N of 22N between 47W and 61W. Near and north of the
Mona Passage, a surface trough is causing scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms.

For the western Atlantic north of 20N between 55W and the
Florida/southern Georgia coast, gentle to moderate SW to NW to NE
winds with 5 to 7 ft seas are evident. To the east, moderate to
fresh E to SSE winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft dominate north of 27N
between 44W and 63W. For the tropical Atlantic from the Equator
to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, gentle to moderate NE
to ESE winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
shift eastward with high pressure building in the wake of the
front. S winds will strengthen offshore north and central Florida
on Sun in advance of another cold front that will move off the SE
U.S. coast on Mon. Fresh to strong NE winds and building seas are
expected in the wake of the front.

$$
ERA
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)

354
AXNT20 KNHC 161110 RRA
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Feb 16 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1045 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front is just inland the
southeastern coast of the U.S. Ahead of it, southerly winds have
increased to 25 to 35 kt in a tightening pressure gradient over a a
portion of the waters east of northern Florida along with seas of 8
to 11 ft. These winds are primarily north of 29N and between 75W and
77W. They will spread eastward during the morning. The cold front
will reach from near 31N74W to the NW Bahamas and to west-central
Cuba by early this afternoon, at which time these winds are expected
to shift north of 31N.

Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and
extends southwestward to 03N22W, where latest scatterometer data
indicates that it transitions to the ITCZ to inland Brazil at
02S47W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
within 120 nm south of the trough between 16W-20W and within 60 nm
north of the trough between 17W-20W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A cold front extends from is analyzed from north-central Florida
southwestward to 25N88W to the central Bay of Campeche. Overnight
scatterometer satellite data shows fresh west to northwest winds
behind the front to near 90W, and gentle to moderate north to
northeast winds are west of 90W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft with the winds
behind the front, and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere north of 25N east of 94W
and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere, except for lower seas of 2 to 4 ft in the
far northwest Gulf and in the Bay of Campeche.

For the forecast, the cold front will exit the basin this
afternoon. Winds over the NE Gulf will gradually diminish this
morning as high pressure in the wake of the front begins to slide
eastward across the area. Winds will become gentle to moderate
along with slight to moderate seas beginning this afternoon and
continuing into early Tue before southerly moderate to fresh winds
develop in the western Gulf. These winds will expand eastward in
coverage through Fri as low pressure, with an attendant cold front
move through central Texas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A frontal remnant trough extends across Puerto Rico southwestward
into the east-central Caribbean along 68W. Fresh northeast to east
winds prevail north of about 15N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Fresh
to strong winds continue to pulse near the coast of Colombia to 15N,
with seas of 6 to 8 ft. Elsewhere across the basin, a 1034 mb high
pressure centered between Bermuda and the Bahamas is supporting
moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas east of 80W, and gentle
to moderate southeast winds in the the northwestern part of the basin.

For the forecast, pulsing strong northeast winds will prevail
near the coast of Colombia through the forecast period. Moderate
to rough seas are expected with these winds. Light to gentle winds
over the NW Caribbean will strengthen by the end of the week.
Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for portions of the northwest waters
for this morning. Please refer to the Special Feature section
above for more details.

A cold front is analyzed from the north-central Atlantic through
31N41W to 23N49W, then becomes stationary to 19N63W and a frontal
remnant trough to Puerto Rico. Moderate to fresh north to northeast
winds as seen in overnight scatterometer satellite data passes are
north and northwest of the front to near 72W. Anticyclonic light to
gentle winds are north of 24N between of 51W and 57W in response to
a 1023 mb high center near 32N61W and a 1024 mb high center that is
near 33N53W. North of 25N and west of 72W, southerly winds are fresh
to near gale outside the gale-force winds as described above under
Special Features. Seas are 6 to 8 ft within these winds, except 3 ft
or less in the lee of the central Bahamas. Light to gentle winds and
3 to 5 ft seas are elsewhere, except for higher seas of 5 to 7 ft
north of 18N between 46W and 52W, and seas of 7 to 9 ft north of 27N
between 37W and 46W with fresh to strong south winds ahead of a cold front.

East of the cold front to 35W and north f 26N, fresh south to
southwest winds prevail along with seas of 7 to 9 ft. East of 35W
and N of 10N, fresh to strong trades and rough seas prevail due to
an enhanced pressure difference between a 1034 mb high near
36N14W and lower pressures in the deep tropics. Moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas are elsewhere south of 20N to the Lesser Antilles.

For the forecast west of 55W outside of the Gale Warning area,
low pressure intensifying offshore the Carolinas will pull a cold
front across the offshore waters of northern Florida today.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of the front, with a
squall line are north of 28N between 74W and 77W. This activity
will continue eastward into the afternoon. The cold front will
reach from near 31N74W to the NW Bahamas and to west-central Cuba
by early this afternoon, from near 31N69W to the central Bahamas
and to central Cuba tonight, then from near 31N58W to 24N65W and
stationary to South Florida Tue. The cold front portion will move
east of 55W late Tue while the stationary portion weakens, with
frontal remnants lifting back N as a warm front Wed. An expanding
areas of fresh to strong southerly winds and building seas will
precede the front today. Fresh to strong winds northerly winds and
building seas will follow the front through late tonight. Seas may
possibly reach 14 ft in the far northern forecast waters Tue, then
shift to the far northeast part of the area Wed before moving east
of 55W Wed night. The fresh to strong winds will diminish on Tue.
Rough seas will linger elsewhere east of 60W through Thu. Mariners
are urged to stay up to date with the latest forecasts.

$$
Aguirre
--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)