• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0917

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed May 21 04:27:46 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 210426
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 210425=20
    GAZ000-ALZ000-210630-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0917
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1125 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025

    Areas affected...North-central Alabama...Northern Georgia

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 308...309...

    Valid 210425Z - 210630Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 308, 309 continues.

    SUMMARY...A severe threat may continue for a couple more hours
    across north-central Alabama and northern Georgia. An isolated
    tornado threat, along with a potential for hail and severe wind
    gusts will continue.

    DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a broken line
    segment with multiple embedded supercells over parts of northern
    Georgia and north-central Alabama. A moist but weakly unstable
    airmass is located to the southeast of the line. Across this
    airmass, surface dewpoints are in the mid to upper 60s F, and the
    RAP has MLCAPE from 500 to 1000 J/kg. In addition, the WSR-88D VWP
    near Atlanta has 0-6 km shear near 60 knots, and 0-3 km
    storm-relative helicity near 370 m2/s2. This will support an
    isolated tornado threat over the next couple of hours, with the
    strongest of supercells. Recently, a transition to more linear
    structure has occurred with many of the cells. As this transition
    continues to occur, isolated wind damage will be possible with the
    more organized line segments.

    ..Broyles/Gleason.. 05/21/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9ZxZhNupfrI0081NvDQ7rUcw-h1nKZ7c8KTQsi3cxqT68T0KmmWJoXOEq5L4cCapgnP-G6FnS= T85GKuNHKn0hFiUNLo$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...

    LAT...LON 33708666 34218527 34568440 34498395 34278391 34028407
    33858431 33328563 33028656 32748742 32768782 32918796
    33068796 33248772 33708666=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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