ACUS11 KWNS 300843
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300843=20
MOZ000-ARZ000-301015-

Mesoscale Discussion 0294
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0343 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

Areas affected...portions of northwest AR into southwest and central
MO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 69...

Valid 300843Z - 301015Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 69
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated severe gusts may persist another couple of hours
across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 69.

DISCUSSION...A band of convection will continue to track
east/northeast near the MO/AR border into southwest MO of the next
couple of hours. This convection produced significant wind gusts
about 1-2 hours ago. Since that time, radar trends have weakened
considerably. Nevertheless, this activity will continue to move
across a weakly unstable airmass amid strong vertical shear.
Isolated strong to severe wind gusts will remain possible with
stronger cells over the next couple of hours. Trends will be
monitored for possible downstream watch issuance into eastern MO,
but current expectation is that convection will continue to
gradually weaken with eastward extent.

..Leitman.. 03/30/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7Tm5pibMUvzO7-KiGoV41rEhEy64cTGZjr8yxWgaEB_Qb3nlPr1U6y5RWPMLx78CVZBGCxkfK= iPS7z3zzYlBU-x96ME$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...

LAT...LON 38149409 38659286 38829245 38499158 37739148 37029170
36239290 35839363 35829401 36809407 38149409=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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