• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0268

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Mar 27 03:36:20 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 270335
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 270335=20
    WAZ000-270500-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0268
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1035 PM CDT Wed Mar 26 2025

    Areas affected...Parts of nwrn WA

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 65...

    Valid 270335Z - 270500Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 65
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Widespread convection and embedded weak thunderstorm
    activity lingers, but the potential for severe weather appears
    unlikely to increase. Severe Thunderstorm Watch 65 may be allowed
    to expire at 9 PM PDT.

    DISCUSSION...Convective development, and embedded weak thunderstorm
    activity, persists along the western slopes of the Oregon Cascades.=20
    However, the primary cluster of thunderstorm activity is now rapidly
    spreading with the more favorable mid/upper forcing for ascent=20
    across and north-northwest of the Puget Sound vicinity. Locally
    strong surface gusts might still be possible, but thermodynamic
    profiles characterized by rather modest to weak mid/upper lapse
    rates, and more limited low-level moisture than some model guidance
    indicated, appear to have mitigated the severe weather threat.

    ..Kerr.. 03/27/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_f-I8qgkevn0kljsay0GIibCVKjRlMbUXRgn_G9wE7tKx6PNirASkrNIFpQRJt6zj6mCRTgk3= jH0v6YrK7GamihlC28$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SEW...

    LAT...LON 48802319 48752155 47612133 47162195 47512281 48262387
    48802319=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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