ACUS11 KWNS 160843
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160843=20
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-161015-

Mesoscale Discussion 0220
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0343 AM CDT Sun Mar 16 2025

Areas affected...East central Georgia to the eastern Florida
Panhandle

Concerning...Tornado Watch 50...

Valid 160843Z - 161015Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 50 continues.

SUMMARY...Threat for occasional wind damage and a couple of
tornadoes will persist through the morning.

DISCUSSION...A forced, pre-frontal convective band is moving from
central toward east central GA, with the band largely oriented
parallel to the deep-layer flow/shear vectors. The QLCS in central
GA is moving along the edge of the near-surface destabilization, and
close to the 70 kt low-level jet core. Despite the weak
near-surface buoyancy, occasional damaging gusts and a tornado or
two could occur with embedded circulations, especially more
north-south oriented segments. Stronger buoyancy is located farther
to the southwest, where 68-70 F dewpoints have spread inland to
extreme southwest GA and the eastern FL Panhandle. The more
cellular storm mode in this area suggests some potential for
occasional supercell structures, though low-level shear will slowly
weaken through the morning as the low-level jet develops
northeastward toward SC.

..Thompson.. 03/16/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7LrhU_dNP1LHPOy4vwDAzLnga3e-IVoVvGMPy0gQMnBO4UCTCOhID22RPOQ-tH2B7C2OcrGLv= Vhz90CQw0dH3VbpN48$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON 32928311 33548277 33778217 33568193 32888218 32198252
31598306 31018363 30378419 29948467 29758515 30348515
31708435 32928311=20


=3D =3D =3D
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