ACUS11 KWNS 152041
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152040=20
FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-152215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0211
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0340 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Areas affected...Gulf coastal areas of Mississippi...Alabama...and
the western Florida Panhandle

Concerning...Tornado Watch 45...46...

Valid 152040Z - 152215Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45, 46 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat, including a few tornadoes, may develop
along portions of the Gulf Coast if storms can continue developing
along the shoreline. Tornado Watch expansions may be needed over the
next few hours.

DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells have developed along the LA/MS
border and continue to track northeast with a tornado threat.
However, storms continue to develop southward near Lake
Pontchartrain, and as deep-layer ascent continues to increase over
the Gulf Coast region, additional storms may develop along the
shoreline. The MOB VAD has shown a slight but steady increase in
hodograph size and curvature through the afternoon, with 0-3 km SRH
approaching 600 m2/s2. Given rich Gulf moisture and associated
buoyancy, the potential exists for tornadoes and damaging gusts if a
sustained supercell structure can materialize. Should this scenario
become apparent, ongoing Tornado Watches 45-46 may need to be
expanded to the Gulf Coast.

..Squitieri.. 03/15/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9-HWTwuI9-eXgq3mGpPDAuBmqYEejPBFY341R-5FcySiB-YXLIqSf7vMjnDy_cltr8Yr8yMSz= GXfq_MMUtladoIkDJs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...

LAT...LON 30408965 30878852 31178766 31248688 30888662 30468686
30268732 30208817 30228894 30198925 30408965=20


=3D =3D =3D
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