ACUS11 KWNS 151426
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151425=20
TNZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-151600-

Mesoscale Discussion 0198
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0925 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Areas affected...northern Louisiana...southeast
Arkansas...northern/western Mississippi...southwest Tennessee

Concerning...Tornado Watch 44...

Valid 151425Z - 151600Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 44 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe weather threat will increase through the
morning across tornado watch 44.

DISCUSSION...Widespread thunderstorm activity has formed along the
cold front from northern Louisiana to western Tennessee. The
widespread nature of this convection has resulted in a messy storm
mode. However, any additional storms which develop on the warm side
of the boundary will pose a threat for all severe hazards including
large hail, severe wind gusts, and tornadoes. This baroclinic zone
will likely persist for much of the day with the greatest tornado
threat persisting slightly southeast of this zone. More organized
supercells are present across northern Louisiana where storm mode
has remained more discrete. These supercells, and additional
development south and east of these storms may be the beginnings of
long-track supercells which will persist for much of the daytime
period with a threat for large hail (some 2+ inches), severe wind
gusts, and strong to intense tornadoes.

..Bentley/Gleason.. 03/15/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_97PB46YTPBk1wfO2FuD91-2rQUwXsIjLnonzAqHW7-Z_55UtTSkJGH_-ZPumNWcvvY7_XVb-= ySbrZ-byQPvmFPuk3Y$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 31149378 32549294 33939160 34599080 35308986 35508951
35588869 35418815 34608826 33648908 32648999 31399153
30879207 30859307 31149378=20


=3D =3D =3D
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