ACUS11 KWNS 150703
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150703=20
TNZ000-ALZ000-KYZ000-150830-

Mesoscale Discussion 0192
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0203 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Areas affected...Western middle Tennessee into west
central/northwest Alabama

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 150703Z - 150830Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...Severe/tornado threat may spread into parts of middle
Tennessee and west central/northwest Alabama through the early
morning. A new tornado watch may be needed.

DISCUSSION...Warm sector supercells, including a long-lived tornadic
storm in northeast MS, will continue to spread northeastward along
the east edge of the richer low-level moisture. Low-level
trajectories from the south and south-southeast suggest that
moisture increases into AL and middle TN will be gradual. However, near-surface moistening will be sufficient to maintain the storm
clusters, along with some continued tornado threat near and a little
east of the longitude of the MS/AL border. This area will continue
to be monitored for the possibility of a new tornado watch by
roughly 08z.

..Thompson/Smith.. 03/15/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_o7P3xnyFu49dFjo4JE91abBUrCFQPzBAj5oztlbSAfCRvAQbkmxNI3wNUuTrMp-07Y7kA4Ev= yCk--YmhTT8Yl_BEvY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON 36598590 35088643 33928673 33058722 32338799 32388836
33778817 35088804 36048788 36668730 36598590=20


=3D =3D =3D
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