ACUS11 KWNS 150550
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150549=20
ALZ000-MSZ000-150715-

Mesoscale Discussion 0190
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1249 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Areas affected...Northeast and east central Mississippi

Concerning...Tornado Watch 36...38...

Valid 150549Z - 150715Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 36, 38 continues.

SUMMARY...Potential for strong-intense (EF2-EF3+) tornadoes will
persist with a supercell cluster moving into northeast Mississippi,
while new supercell development is possible into east central
Mississippi.

DISCUSSION...An intense supercell is approaching the southern tier
of counties in PDS tornado watch #36 across northeast MS. This
storm is located in the open warm sector in a zone of low-level
moisture advection and strong low-level shear with large, curved
hodographs per regional VWP time series. The potential for
strong-intense tornadoes will persist with this cluster for the next
1-2 hours. Farther south, thunderstorms are developing in the warm
advection zone along the east edge of the richer moisture into east
central MS. One or two supercells could emerge from this developing
convection and pose a tornado threat in the next few hours. For
this reason, a local eastward extension of tornado watch #38 will
need to be considered by 06-07z.

..Thompson.. 03/15/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_dv6ba6ZLaH_jjoNa23iRUBhm1rXpQPgKpTlIvFLNiyMUIrULXwV4asiLpk3XST9ngX5E-to2= -oHAzktnDKYOIi_rhE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 33958821 32888837 32398870 32168923 32218962 32658955
33408950 33878969 34368943 34708905 34808847 34668815
33958821=20


=3D =3D =3D
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