• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0164

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Mar 13 01:27:38 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 130126
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 130126=20
    LAZ000-TXZ000-130230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0164
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0826 PM CDT Wed Mar 12 2025

    Areas affected...eastern Texas into western Louisiana

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 29...

    Valid 130126Z - 130230Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 29
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe-weather potential may linger locally for another 1
    to 2 hours with the ongoing convective band over eastern Texas.

    DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a semi-continuous band of
    storms advancing eastward across eastern Texas -- and remains
    largely sub-severe. The convection is moving through the axis of
    most substantial instability at this time, per latest RAP-based
    objective analysis, which suggests that lingering severe risk should
    begin to diminish over the next 1 to 2 hours. This is further
    supported by evening RAOBs, which -- upon continued/gradual
    boundary-layer cooling -- suggests an environment becoming
    increasingly less supportive of any ramp-up on convective
    intensity/severe potential.

    ..Goss.. 03/13/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7Y-0QzDM-S4IHKZKMrvAusJdhNgly9b-IW9F4jxTONDVNNvhZWyek8STQNc2NZUcDSh7bgsch= bwt5zuOFTnvet7EY44$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...EWX...

    LAT...LON 32399387 32429256 31529250 30359451 30019680 30459644
    31419501 32159446 32399387=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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