ACUS11 KWNS 050222
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050221=20
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-050315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0141
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0821 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025

Areas affected...Alabama region

Concerning...Tornado Watch 22...

Valid 050221Z - 050315Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 22 continues.

SUMMARY...Squall line with damaging winds will continue to surge
east. Some tornado risk continues, but this activity should be
limited.

DISCUSSION...Well-organized squall line continues in advance of a
strong short-wave trough. Impressive ESRH is noted ahead of this MCS
with 50kt just off the surface. Given the very strong wind fields,
the potential for mixing this stronger flow to the surface remains,
and damaging winds are the primary concern as this squall line
advances east at roughly 25-30kt. Discrete updrafts have struggled
to develop ahead of the line, so a secondary concern, regarding the
potential for tornadoes, does exist, but mainly with embedded
circulations.

..Darrow.. 03/05/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9Xob6rZ-s5-W89hMJiCToYm8YYPrQYV043Z2hIVzGtr4cWFcPjgwRe_1F9w-_k8-NgLZy8wFP= odtGCWRCEBI8VQh_Po$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MOB...LIX...

LAT...LON 30198877 32188741 34328704 34228637 32778638 31378686
30028802 30198877=20


=3D =3D =3D
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