ACUS11 KWNS 120725
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120725=20
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-121330-

Mesoscale Discussion 0083
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0125 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025

Areas affected...Oklahoma...Far Northwest Arkansas...Far Southwest Missouri...Far Southeast Kansas

Concerning...Freezing rain=20

Valid 120725Z - 121330Z

SUMMARY...Freezing rain is expected to develop across parts of
Oklahoma overnight, with precipitation rates locally exceeding 0.10
inches per hour.

DISCUSSION...A mid-level shortwave trough is evident on water vapor
imagery near the Four Corners. This feature will move quickly
eastward across the southern Rockies and into the southern Plains
late tonight into the early morning hours. Large-scale ascent ahead
of the shortwave will increase across the southern Plains, which
will aid the expansion and intensification of precipitation that is
already ongoing. At the surface, cold air advection is occurring
over much of the southern Plains. Surface temperatures are currently
below freezing in most of western and northern Oklahoma into parts
of central Oklahoma. Temperatures will continue to slowly drop over
the next few hours, as an area with heavier precipitation moves east-northeastward across Oklahoma.=20

RAP forecast soundings along this corridor late tonight have a warm
layer of +2 to +4 C between 700 and 800 mb. With sub-freezing
surface temperatures, this will result in freezing rain over much of
Oklahoma. Freezing rain rates are expected to locally exceed 0.10
inches per hour within the heavier convective showers. Short-term
model forecast suggest that the precipitation will eventually move
into parts of the western Ozarks near or after daybreak, where
precipitation may change over to moderate snow, with the development
of heavy snow possible.

..Broyles/Mosier.. 02/12/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5USHpKTk5WFjU48j443-O4HLqXqzsHa_Jzml4wAfBEa2RC8yEM9H1NMlaaqx_prjgGrCV4Ako= xtl20qcekCEo0Guof0$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...AMA...

LAT...LON 35039600 34529795 34419886 34419939 34489971 34729995
35120007 35619997 36049962 36449896 36899706 37319469
37319385 37149347 36759323 36279333 35949376 35659437
35039600=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)