ACUS11 KWNS 050239
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050238=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-050845-

Mesoscale Discussion 0002
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0838 PM CST Sat Jan 04 2025

Areas affected...south-central Kansas into far western Missouri

Concerning...Freezing rain=20

Valid 050238Z - 050845Z

SUMMARY...Areas of light freezing rain may intensify later this
evening, spreading out of south-central Kansas into far western
Missouri. Small hail may also occur from far northern Oklahoma into
southern Kansas.

DISCUSSION...Light freezing drizzle/rain persists this evening over south-central KS north of the warm front over northern OK. VWPs
indicate increasing southwest flow just above the stable/cold
boundary layer, which will result in increasing moisture advection
and lift atop the cold air mass.

Indications are that heavier convective elements/elevated
thunderstorms may form over far northern OK into southern KS between
03-06Z. As this activity expands northeast and north of the freezing
line, moderate to heavy bursts of freezing rain may occur. Forecast
soundings indicate several hundred J/kg MUCAPE will develop by 06Z,
and very small hail cannot be ruled out.

..Jewell.. 01/05/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4ziNoKeYN5TgDACuq_sndujaWV9MR6RvyCgHbH6-GOlac4JCm1DNWs1lTy3Qy4F-GhcoxTXhZ= q3N-gMg2kQRyc74FZg$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON 37939408 37899458 37839508 37749580 37689647 37599709
37539764 37499813 37579841 37899841 38419798 38689652
38829442 38659376 38389367 38119374 37939408=20


=3D =3D =3D
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