ACUS11 KWNS 081259
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081259=20
NCZ000-VAZ000-081430-

Mesoscale Discussion 1865
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 AM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024

Areas affected...Eastern NC into southeast VA

Concerning...Tornado Watch 613...

Valid 081259Z - 081430Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 613 continues.

SUMMARY...The tornado threat will continue through the morning, and
gradually spread northward with time.

DISCUSSION...Occasional small supercells and possible tornadoes
continue to be noted within the northeast quadrant of Tropical Storm
Debby, which is forecast by NHC to gradually accelerate northward
through the day. The northeast quadrant will continue to be the
favored area for tornado potential, due to having the most favorable
wind profiles (with regional VWPs and the 12Z MHX sounding depicting
0-1 km SRH of 200-400 m2/s2), as well as somewhat stronger
instability, along the eastern periphery of the larger precipitation
shield. This area of favorable buoyancy/shear overlap will gradually
spread northward through the day, with some tornado potential
eventually moving into parts of northeast NC and southeast VA, where
very moist and relatively warm conditions are already in place.

..Dean.. 08/08/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9ONreYamBwYh92yk0NO2bJzcGgYnwxuGDxWSkMkhQhKawHhDecQ_GQ7gnWLP_hBk8worDXeG4= j2Y4Eqq52bwRLegUbA$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

LAT...LON 34467739 34977877 35767911 36327903 36737772 37457663
37277618 36557572 35997554 35537549 35127563 34617649
34467739=20


=3D =3D =3D
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