• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0867

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue May 26 23:57:20 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 262357
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 262356=20
    KYZ000-270130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0867
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0656 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

    Areas affected...parts of east central Kentucky

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 262356Z - 270130Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Ongoing supercell structure now to the northeast of the
    Stanton vicinity seems likely to weaken by around 9 PM EDT.

    DISCUSSION...A sustained supercell structure has been maintained
    along a modest zone of differential surface heating to the north
    through northeast of Stanton KY the past hour or so. Deep-layer
    shear along this boundary appears rather marginal, and low-level
    hodographs, though exhibiting clockwise curvature, are rather small.
    However, near-surface buoyancy and potential upward parcel
    accelerations probably are being aided by a moist boundary-layer
    with dew points near 70F. Although this cell has probably produced
    one or two weak tornadoes, it is not clear that this will continue
    much longer, as the boundary-layer begins to stabilize with slow
    radiational surface cooling.

    ..Kerr/Thompson.. 05/26/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!64wQX91jDQpupdV4u7LeX-jCfLLuKwzs0pgTDC8-y0UyqTgiNU1_yOSufQqysi4KX2A4d21N7= n243sZ2Dx8DxRLErc8$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...

    LAT...LON 38258321 38148294 37888342 37918385 38258321=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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