• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1876

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Aug 3 07:40:01 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 030739
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 030738=20
    OKZ000-TXZ000-030915-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1876
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0238 AM CDT Sun Aug 03 2025

    Areas affected...portions of the Texas Panhandle into far western
    Oklahoma

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 568...

    Valid 030738Z - 030915Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 568
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A few severe storms are likely to persist through the
    early morning.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms continues southeastward this
    morning across the Texas Panhandle. The western storm has recently
    strengthened with a tightening reflectivity gradient on the leading
    edge of the supercell. This storm will likely have the greatest
    severe weather threat as it continues southeast over the next 1 to 2
    hours. An additional stronger storm across Lipscomb county will move
    southeast into far western Oklahoma. However, it will also move into progressively less unstable air as it move east and therefore, its
    severe potential is not expected to persist as long as the western
    storm. Severe wind gusts will be the primary threat from both
    storms.

    ..Bentley/Mosier.. 08/03/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7K6P5Vypx2OcIHicWU_josmGuM2slNVDdQDkjkoDq4mZTJrAGLqRzRgd0F1GwRwzhwJQpXb3y= jzemKGva59uRwqmtTk$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...

    LAT...LON 35560231 36280215 36540098 36510073 36600043 36549993
    36319970 35879947 35429935 35169946 35009980 34910049
    34930130 34990205 35070221 35560231=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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