ACUS11 KWNS 231956
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231956=20
TXZ000-232130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0508
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0256 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Areas affected...Trans-Pecos/Lower Pecos Valley of TX

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 231956Z - 232130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Localized strong to severe gusts of 50-65 mph and small to
marginally severe hail to around 1 inch in diameter will be possible
with a couple storms in far west Texas.

DISCUSSION...High-based, lower-topped thunderstorms are expected to
persist for a few more hours off the higher terrain of the TX
Trans-Pecos and spread east towards the Lower Pecos Valley before
weakening. Steep lower-level lapse rates will be conductive to
microbursts beneath generally small hail cores aloft. The overall
environmental setup coupled with the lack of stronger large-scale
ascent suggest that any severe threat should remain relatively
localized in space/short in time, and marginal in intensity.

..Grams/Smith.. 04/23/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!45wytPyssuLMomkM1JLJKi3h1a26N6YlTsfIl99DOqNaJ14dpDEoy7QHpYwohLAc6_MCFJZoA= YM9eWoLFaN_SxFfRgo$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON 30800352 31180233 31110184 30840152 30280160 30140176
30020246 30060315 30350368 30640376 30800352=20


=3D =3D =3D
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