• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0414

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Apr 10 16:01:59 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 101601
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 101601=20
    FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-101730-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0414
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1101 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024

    Areas affected...far southeast Louisiana...southeast
    Mississippi...southwest Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 101...102...

    Valid 101601Z - 101730Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 101, 102 continues.

    SUMMARY...A swath of damaging wind with gusts to 70 mph is possible
    across southeast Mississippi into far southwest Alabama and the
    western Florida Panhandle over the next couple of hours. A couple of
    tornadoes also remain possible.

    DISCUSSION...The line of convection over southeast MS and far
    southeast LA will continue to develop east at around 60 mph. A swath
    of damaging gusts will continue. The corridor of greatest risk over
    the next couple of hours will be focused closer to the coast across
    southeast MS into southwest AL where better low-level moisture and
    instability are noted. This area will also align with more favorable
    effective SRH greater than 300 m2/s2 and STP values around 1-2.
    Furthermore, the MOB VWP indicated an enlarged, and favorably curved
    low-level hodograph. This environment will support tornado
    potential, either via line embedded mesovortex generation or cell
    mergers into the line, as has been observed via radar over the past
    30-60 minutes across southeast LA.

    ..Leitman.. 04/10/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_A1mlXe2lc7V7Q6sxuEUhrMYITpYaK6Mq5RTIcvxsIJ_0rnJo4bPYev6DLHNxxMKCUfhKgNHu= geHGGQrHhdZdlROuH8$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

    LAT...LON 31538967 32078964 32318942 32478833 32348759 31938694
    31358677 30458661 30118672 29828719 29558851 29368937
    29428990 29719019 30648980 30808970 31538967=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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